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OPEN INTEREST:
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405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
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2,693
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VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 12:38 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mei Yamaguchi and Wushuang Zheng in the Jingshan, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mei Yamaguchi' if Mei Yamaguchi advances against Wushuang Zheng. This market will resolve to 'Wushuang Zheng' if Wushuang Zheng advances against Mei Yamaguchi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mei Yamaguchi and Wushuang Zheng in the Jingshan, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mei Yamaguchi' if Mei Yamaguchi advances against Wushuang Zheng. This market will resolve to 'Wushuang Zheng' if Wushuang Zheng advances against Mei Yamaguchi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while prediction markets allow traders to directly assess probabilities. This can lead to differences in implied probabilities, especially as new information emerges. However, it’s common to see convergence between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds as the event approaches, as both attempt to accurately forecast the outcome of the Yamaguchi vs Zheng fight. It’s important to compare these sources to form a well-rounded view.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Yamaguchi vs Zheng fight. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s potential results. The market’s price is solely determined by traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Yamaguchi vs Zheng fight as declared by the relevant sporting authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will forfeit their stake.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to either fighter, changes in their training regimens, or updates on their physical condition would likely cause price movement. Public statements from coaches or analysts offering strong opinions could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, shifts in betting patterns at traditional sportsbooks, or even broader public discussion surrounding the Yamaguchi vs Zheng fight, could all contribute to changes in the market’s price. Unexpected announcements related to the fight’s venue or scheduling could also be catalysts.