TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 29, 6:13 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Matthew Dellavedova and Andre Ilagan in the Jingshan, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matthew Dellavedova' if Matthew Dellavedova advances against Andre Ilagan. This market will resolve to 'Andre Ilagan' if Andre Ilagan advances against Matthew Dellavedova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matthew Dellavedova and Andre Ilagan in the Jingshan, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matthew Dellavedova' if Matthew Dellavedova advances against Andre Ilagan. This market will resolve to 'Andre Ilagan' if Andre Ilagan advances against Matthew Dellavedova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can arise from varying levels of information access or differing interpretations of available data. Analyzing both can provide a more comprehensive view of the potential outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where shares are bought and sold, adjusting the price based on supply and demand. The price of a share represents the implied probability of the corresponding outcome occurring. As more traders believe a particular outcome is likely, the price of its shares will increase, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders participating in this market, offering a dynamic and real-time valuation of the event’s potential outcomes.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Jingshan match between Matthew Dellavedova and Andre Ilagan. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result. It's important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in their playing schedule could significantly shift the odds. Public statements from coaches or analysts offering insights into the match could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected developments in the broader Jingshan tournament, or even external factors like weather conditions, may also play a role. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the market’s pricing.