TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 12:46 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Chuan Ding and Enzo Aguiard in the Jingshan, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 11:10PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Chuan Ding' if Chuan Ding advances against Enzo Aguiard. This market will resolve to 'Enzo Aguiard' if Enzo Aguiard advances against Chuan Ding. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Chuan Ding and Enzo Aguiard in the Jingshan, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 11:10PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Chuan Ding' if Chuan Ding advances against Enzo Aguiard. This market will resolve to 'Enzo Aguiard' if Enzo Aguiard advances against Chuan Ding. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it might suggest that the market has identified information not yet fully incorporated by sportsbooks, or vice versa. It's a valuable comparison point for anyone interested in the fight.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the fight's potential results. The current volume indicates the level of interest and conviction surrounding each possible outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Chuan Ding vs Enzo Aguiard fight as declared by the relevant sporting authority. The market will determine which fighter won the bout, and shares in the winning outcome will be worth 1 USDC, while shares in the losing outcome will be worth 0 USDC. This ensures a clear and objective determination of the market's outcome.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could all influence trader sentiment. Unexpected betting activity in traditional sportsbooks might also cause shifts in the prediction market. Furthermore, any updates on the fighters’ physical condition or tactical approaches leading up to the fight could lead to adjustments in the probabilities reflected in this market. Overall fight hype and media coverage can also play a role.