TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 29, 3:07 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Akira Santillan and Luka Pavlovic in the Jingshan, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Akira Santillan' if Akira Santillan advances against Luka Pavlovic. This market will resolve to 'Luka Pavlovic' if Luka Pavlovic advances against Akira Santillan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Akira Santillan and Luka Pavlovic in the Jingshan, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Akira Santillan' if Akira Santillan advances against Luka Pavlovic. This market will resolve to 'Luka Pavlovic' if Luka Pavlovic advances against Akira Santillan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it could indicate differing opinions on the likely outcome of the Santillan vs Pavlovic match. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms and may respond to different information.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Santillan vs Pavlovic match. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, with traders adjusting their positions based on new information or changes in sentiment. This creates a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Santillan vs Pavlovic match, as determined by the relevant sporting authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the event approaches and after it concludes to understand the resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the Santillan vs Pavlovic match takes place. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks might also cause adjustments. Furthermore, broader developments in the sport of boxing, or even general economic conditions, could indirectly impact trading activity and the perceived probabilities associated with this market.