TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Jingshan: Adam Walton vs Hikaru Shiraishi
polymarket

What is the result of Adam Walton vs Hikaru Shiraishi?

Volume:
$8,615

Jingshan: Adam Walton vs Hikaru Shiraishi

 - Polymarket

Jingshan: Adam Walton vs Hikaru Shiraishi - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 28, 2026

Closed: Sep 28, 2:49 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Jingshan: Adam Walton vs Hikaru Shiraishi

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,815
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 4h 39m
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,800
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 4h 39m
Yes
Total markets: 2

Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Adam Walton and Hikaru Shiraishi in the Jingshan, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adam Walton' if Adam Walton advances against Hikaru Shiraishi. This market will resolve to 'Hikaru Shiraishi' if Hikaru Shiraishi advances against Adam Walton. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Adam Walton and Hikaru Shiraishi in the Jingshan, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adam Walton' if Adam Walton advances against Hikaru Shiraishi. This market will resolve to 'Hikaru Shiraishi' if Hikaru Shiraishi advances against Adam Walton. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Jingshan match provides a real-time view of trading activity. You can see the current odds reflecting the probability of each outcome, as well as a price history chart showing how those odds have changed over time. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $8,615, and the total volume traded to date, which is $8,615. This allows you to gauge market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities related to this specific match.

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can take positions in this market that push the probabilities in a different direction. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, responding to new information and changing perspectives on the Jingshan match.

This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Jingshan match between Adam Walton and Hikaru Shiraishi, as declared by the official tournament organizers. The market will determine which competitor emerged victorious, and that result will be used to settle all outstanding shares. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market will be finalized.

Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 5, 2026. Any news regarding the players’ recent performance, injuries, or changes in strategy could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Public analysis from chess experts and commentators could also sway market sentiment. Unexpected developments during the match itself, such as a surprising opening move or a crucial tactical error, would likely cause rapid shifts in the odds. Overall, any information that alters the assessment of each player’s chances of winning could move this market.