TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 30, 1:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which player will win the second set of a specific tennis match at the 2026 US Open. It allows participants to speculate on the outcome of Set 2 between Jessica Pegula and Elena-Gabriela Ruse, based on the actual performance in that set during the match.
If Jessica Pegula wins set 2 in the Jessica Pegula vs Elena-Gabriela Ruse professional tennis match in the 2026 US Open Women Singles Round Of 128, then the market resolves to Yes. If Elena-Gabriela Ruse wins set 2 in the Jessica Pegula vs Elena-Gabriela Ruse professional tennis match in the 2026 US Open Women Singles Round Of 128, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds adjust continuously based on real-time trading activity and volume of $30,137, which can differ from sportsbook odds that incorporate additional factors like house margins and broader public betting trends. While sportsbooks may set lines based on analytical models and historical performance, this market prices the probability through collective trader behavior. The dynamic nature of Kalshi allows for rapid shifts in odds as new information emerges, offering a distinct perspective compared to more static sportsbook lines.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of set two will be determined by the official match result, and that definitive result will settle this market on Kalshi.
Key signals such as player form in the first set, injury updates, or significant breaks of serve in early games of set two could shift this market. Any momentum swings, strategic changes from coaches, or crowd energy variations may also influence trader sentiment on Kalshi as the set progresses toward its conclusion.