TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 21, 8:31 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the K League 1 soccer match between Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC and Daejeon Hana Citizen FC, scheduled for July 21, 2026, will end in a draw. The aggregated consensus probability for a draw stands at 100.0%, drawing data from Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution based on official K League statistics. A key catalyst to monitor will be the match result on July 21, 2026, which will determine the final settlement.
This event is for the upcoming K-League game, scheduled for Tuesday, July 21, 2026 between Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC and Daejeon Hana Citizen FC.
Resolution is based on the final result of the Jeonbuk vs Daejeon Citizen K League 1 match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, not including extra time or penalties. Each team outcome resolves to Yes if that team wins the match. A tied result resolves the Tie market to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled more than two weeks from the original July 21, 2026 date, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi derive odds directly from trader positions and real-money stakes, making them a crowd-sourced probability estimate. Traditional sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, which can create gaps versus prediction market prices. Prediction markets often reflect sharper, more efficient pricing because traders face direct financial incentive to identify mispricings. However, sportsbooks may incorporate additional factors like injury reports or public betting patterns. Comparing both sources can reveal valuable edges for informed bettors.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform operates independently with distinct user demographics, fee structures, and liquidity pools, which naturally creates price variation. Polymarket and Kalshi may attract different trader profiles—some favoring one venue's interface or regulatory environment. Order flow timing and market depth also differ; a large trade on one platform can move odds faster than on the other. These gaps typically narrow as informed traders arbitrage between venues, but temporary divergences persist. Monitoring both sites reveals which outcome each community currently favors most strongly.
Team news—injuries to key players, lineup changes, or managerial decisions—typically drives significant price swings. Recent form, head-to-head records, and league standings also influence trader sentiment. Weather conditions and venue factors can affect match dynamics and shift odds in the days before kickoff. Major roster updates or unexpected absences announced close to kickoff often trigger sharp moves. Social media and sports media coverage of pre-match analysis may sway retail traders. Professional syndicates monitoring underlying fundamentals can also create sudden repricing as new information surfaces.