TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
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MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 1, 7:53 AM EST
Kalshi
This market predicts the final set score of the professional tennis match between Jenson Brooksby and Ignacio Buse at the 2026 Wimbledon Men's Singles Round of 64 on July 1st. The market covers all possible match outcomes, including victories by either player in straight sets or in five-set contests.
The market resolves based on the exact final set score of the Jenson Brooksby vs Ignacio Buse match at the 2026 Wimbledon Men's Singles Round of 64. Each outcome corresponds to a specific set score result. If the match does not occur before it starts due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or cancellation, the market resolves to a fair price. If the match is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled match concludes within two weeks. If a player retires during the match, any market outcome that can be unconditionally determined from completed play will resolve accordingly; outcomes that cannot be definitively settled will resolve to Fair Market Price at the Exchange's discretion.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different market structures and trader bases. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets like this one aggregate beliefs from many independent traders competing for profit. Prediction markets can sometimes offer sharper pricing on niche outcomes—such as exact match scores—because traders with specialized knowledge compete directly. However, sportsbooks may move faster on breaking news. Comparing this market's implied probabilities to available sportsbook lines can reveal value opportunities for informed bettors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for each possible exact score outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the balance of buy and sell orders at any given moment, with tighter spreads indicating higher confidence and liquidity. As traders update their positions based on player form, injury reports, and head-to-head history, prices adjust in real time. The implied probability of each exact score outcome is derived directly from the current market price, making this a transparent, continuously updated reflection of collective trader expectations.
This market resolves around Jul 1, 2026, once the Brooksby vs Buse match concludes and the final set scores are confirmed. The outcome is verified against credible public sources reporting the official match result. Traders who correctly predicted the exact score combination win their positions, while incorrect predictions expire worthless. The resolution is objective and based on the verifiable final score, ensuring all participants have equal access to the determining information once the event concludes.
Several factors can shift trader sentiment and move prices in this market. Injury announcements or fitness updates for either player will trigger repricing, as will recent performance trends and head-to-head history. Court surface conditions and tournament draw position may also influence expectations about match competitiveness and likely score distribution. Media commentary, betting line movements at sportsbooks, and any coaching or tactical changes can signal new information. As the match date approaches, accumulating data on player form and confidence will drive continuous price adjustments, with the most dramatic moves typically occurring closest to the start time.