TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Jeju SK FC vs. FC Seoul
Volume:
$63,915
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional K League 1 soccer match between Jeju SK FC and FC Seoul scheduled for March 15, 2026. Three related prediction markets track the outcome: whether Jeju SK FC wins, whether FC Seoul wins, and whether the match ends in a draw, all measured at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket explicitly defines cancellation resolution (draw market resolves Yes, win markets resolve No), while Kalshi does not address cancellation, creating potential divergence if the game is canceled with no makeup date.Hero Tip:
Monitor K League scheduling and force majeure policies. If cancellation with no makeup occurs, Polymarket's draw market will resolve Yes while win markets resolve No—an unusual asymmetry. Kalshi's resolution is undefined in this scenario. Hedge accordingly or seek clarification from Kalshi before the event date.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Jeju SK FC win (Yes/No), FC Seoul win (Yes/No), and draw (Yes/No). All measure 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Cancellation clause: if game is canceled with no makeup, draw market resolves Yes and win markets resolve No. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes' (draw) and 'this market will resolve No' (win markets).
- Kalshi: Three outcomes presented as mutually exclusive: Seoul win resolves Yes, Jeju win resolves Yes, or draw resolves Yes. All measure 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Quote: 'If Seoul wins... then the market resolves to Yes' (and similarly for Jeju and draw), but cancellation handling is absent from terms.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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