TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 12, 6:30 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Jeju SK FC and Daejeon Hana Citizen FC, scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Jeju SK FC" if Jeju SK FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Daejeon Hana Citizen FC" if Daejeon Hana Citizen FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Jeju SK FC and Daejeon Hana Citizen FC, scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Jeju SK FC" if Jeju SK FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Daejeon Hana Citizen FC" if Daejeon Hana Citizen FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and profit, while prediction markets allow traders to continuously adjust prices based on real-time information and their own conviction. For this matchup, comparing the odds available here to those offered by major sportsbooks can reveal whether one venue perceives a higher or lower probability of an early goal, potentially signaling where informed traders see value.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker mechanism, where each outcome's probability is derived from the ratio of shares held in the liquidity pool. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the collective assessment of all active traders, with prices continuously updating as new trades execute. This decentralized pricing model means the market can respond rapidly to breaking news, team announcements, or other developments that might influence which team scores first.
This market resolves around Jul 12, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal is verified. The outcome is determined by which team scores the opening goal during regulation play. Resolution occurs after credible public reporting confirms the result, ensuring accuracy and fairness for all traders. Early or late in the match, whichever team finds the back of the net first will determine the winning outcome.
Several factors could shift odds before the match kicks off: confirmed team lineups and injury reports, recent form and head-to-head records, weather conditions at the venue, and any late-breaking tactical announcements. Betting activity itself can also move prices as large traders position themselves. Once play begins, early chances, goalkeeper saves, and possession patterns may prompt traders to reassess probabilities in real time, causing the market to fluctuate until the first goal is scored.