TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 12, 6:30 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming K-League game between Jeju SK FC and Daejeon Hana Citizen FC, scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Jeju SK FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC match originally scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming K-League game between Jeju SK FC and Daejeon Hana Citizen FC, scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Jeju SK FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC match originally scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader belief and real-money stakes. Sportsbooks may adjust lines faster in response to sharp money, whereas prediction markets aggregate dispersed information over time. For a niche matchup like this one, sportsbook liquidity may be limited, making prediction market prices a valuable alternative signal. Both venues can offer insights, but they price risk independently and may show meaningful differences on less-popular events.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker that adjusts odds based on buy and sell pressure. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each exact-score outcome is represented as a separate contract, and the probability of each result is reflected in its current price. As traders buy contracts they believe are underpriced or sell those they see as overvalued, the odds shift in real time. The top outcome currently reflects strong consensus, but prices remain dynamic until the match concludes, allowing participants to enter or exit positions as new information surfaces.
This market resolves around Jul 12, 2026, once the Jeju SK versus Daejeon match concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline at full-time whistle, with no extra time or penalty shootout factoring into the result. Traders holding contracts matching the verified final score receive their payout, while all other outcomes expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of match completion once the official result is confirmed.
Team news—injuries to key players, lineup changes, or tactical shifts—can significantly reprrice exact-score odds. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day all influence trader expectations. Betting-market activity and social sentiment may also shift prices as kickoff nears. Pre-match press conferences or official roster announcements often trigger volatility. Once the match begins, early goals or red cards can cause sharp repricing of remaining scoreline probabilities. Monitor team social media and K League news for developments that could alter perceived likelihood of specific outcomes.