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405,232

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Jeju SK FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Jeju SK FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC?

Volume:
$207,497

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 12, 2026

Closed: Jul 12, 8:30 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$53,816
N/A
N/A
$33,424
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Jeju SK FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$18,125
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Daejeon Hana Citizen FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36,607
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Daejeon Citizen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$28,827
N/A
N/A
$18,524
Settled
No
polymarket

Jeju SK FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35,505
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jeju SK

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$34,616
N/A
N/A
$24,604
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a K League 1 professional soccer match between Jeju SK FC and Daejeon Hana Citizen FC scheduled for July 12, 2026. Three markets are offered across Polymarket and Kalshi covering the three possible outcomes: Jeju SK win, draw, or Daejeon Hana Citizen win, evaluated on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi handle game cancellation scenarios differently. Polymarket's draw market resolves YES on cancellation while win markets resolve NO; Kalshi omits explicit cancellation guidance, leaving resolution ambiguous if the match is canceled with no make-up.Hero tip: Verify Kalshi's cancellation protocol before trading. On Polymarket, the draw market is the only outcome with explicit cancellation protection (resolves YES). If you believe cancellation risk is real, this creates a one-sided hedge opportunity.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets (Jeju win, Draw, Daejeon win). Draw market explicitly resolves YES if game is canceled with no make-up. Win markets explicitly resolve NO if game is canceled with no make-up. All markets remain open if postponed. Primary source: official K League statistics within 2 hours of conclusion, or credible reporting consensus thereafter. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (draw) vs. 'No' (wins).
  • Kalshi: Single three-outcome market (Yes if Jeju wins, Yes if Daejeon wins, Yes if Tie). No explicit cancellation clause provided in the rule set. Evaluation is after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Key Quote: 'If Tie is the result of the Jeju SK vs Daejeon Citizen professional Korea K League 1 soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes' with no cancellation contingency stated.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming K-League game, scheduled for Sunday, July 12, 2026 between Jeju SK FC and Daejeon Hana Citizen FC.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the Jeju SK vs Daejeon Citizen K League 1 match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Each team outcome resolves to Yes if that team wins during regulation time. A tie outcome resolves to Yes if the match ends in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled more than two weeks from the original July 12, 2026 date, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi operate on peer-to-peer pricing, where traders directly set odds through supply and demand rather than through a bookmaker's margin. This mechanism often produces sharper, more efficient lines than traditional sportsbooks, especially when volume is concentrated. However, sportsbooks may move faster on breaking news or injury reports, while prediction markets reflect longer-term consensus. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbook lines can reveal whether the crowd is pricing in information the books have not yet adjusted.

On Polymarket, traders bet on whether the match ends in a draw, while Kalshi's structure focuses on the outright winner, creating different outcome spaces and liquidity pools. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. User bases, fee structures, and order-flow timing also contribute to divergence. Polymarket's larger user base may react faster to social signals, whereas Kalshi's more institutional audience may weight statistical models differently. Arbitrage opportunities can emerge when one platform's odds drift materially ahead of the other, though transaction costs and withdrawal delays typically limit pure cross-platform plays.