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Jeju SK FC vs. Bayern Munich - First Team to Score
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Jeju SK FC vs Bayern Munich?

Volume:
$545,904

Over 11.5 goals scored

 - Kalshi

Over 11.5 goals scored - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 4, 2026

Closed: Jul 30, 1:43 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Over 11.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$206,685
N/A
N/A
$103,717
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 5.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$180,851
N/A
N/A
$90,634
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 10.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$42,531
N/A
N/A
$34,248
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 9.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$39,352
N/A
N/A
$21,569
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 8.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$35,032
N/A
N/A
$25,582
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 6.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$15,258
N/A
N/A
$12,254
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 7.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,993
N/A
N/A
$10,410
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 4.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,217
N/A
N/A
$4,189
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 0.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,503
N/A
N/A
$3,455
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 3.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,859
N/A
N/A
$2,503
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 1.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$706
N/A
N/A
$706
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 2.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$702
N/A
N/A
$698
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Bayern Munich

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$26
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jeju SK FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$188
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Intro

This market tracks which team will score the first goal in the upcoming match between Jeju SK FC and Bayern Munich. The aggregated consensus probability shows Bayern Munich to score first with 99.8%, while the probability of neither team scoring first stands at 0.5%, based on data from Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution determined by official statistics of the event. Watch for the match on August 4, 2026, as this will be the key catalyst for resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms agree on the core resolution logic: first team to score within 90 minutes plus stoppage time determines the outcome, with neither team scoring resolving to "Neither".Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers, with credible reporting as a fallback

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolve to "Jeju SK FC" if they score the first goal within 90 minutes plus stoppage time
  • Resolve to "Bayern Munich" if they score the first goal within 90 minutes plus stoppage time
  • Resolve to "Neither" if no team scores within 90 minutes plus stoppage time
  • Exclude extra time and penalty shoot-outs from consideration

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: Market remains open until the game is completed
  • Cancellation: Market resolves to "Neither" if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game
  • Delayed Statistics: If official statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, use a consensus of credible reporting
Timing: Resolution occurs after the match concludes, based on official statistics or credible reporting if necessaryOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between Jeju SK FC and Bayern Munich, scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Jeju SK FC" if Jeju SK FC are the first to score in the match (regardless of format). This market will resolve to "Bayern Munich" if Bayern Munich are the first to score in the match (regardless of format). If neither team scores in the match (regardless of format), this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market considers goals scored at any point in the match, regardless of format (e.g. two halves totaling 90 minutes plus stoppage time, or four periods totaling 120 minutes). The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple threshold-based outcomes for the total goals scored in the FC Rottach-Egern vs Bayern Munich professional Club Friendlies soccer match scheduled for July 30, 2026. Each market resolves based on whether the combined goals exceed specific half-goal increments (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5). All markets consider only goals scored during the 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time added by the referee, explicitly excluding goals from extra time or penalty shootouts. The resolving entity is independent of official league governance, and all trademarks referenced belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Differences in user bases, liquidity, and trading mechanics can cause Polymarket and Kalshi to price this market differently. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, one platform might attract more local fans or analytics-focused traders, skewing its probability toward a particular outcome. The way each venue handles order flow and fee structures also influences how prices adjust through trading volume.

Injuries to key attacking players, weather delays, or tactical changes announced by coaches can all shift this market. High-profile trading activity on either Polymarket or Kalshi may also signal new information, as volume spikes often precede probability adjustments. Any development that alters the perceived likelihood of an early goal will keep traders watching closely.