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402,751

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JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Gamba Ōsaka
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of JEF United vs Gamba Ōsaka?

Volume:
$168,480

JEF United Ichihara Chiba

 - Polymarket

JEF United Ichihara Chiba - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 6, 2026

Closed: Sep 6, 7:15 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

JEF United Ichihara Chiba

View
100%
71%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10,371
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

United Chiba wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,073
N/A
N/A
$1,012
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Gamba Ōsaka

View
0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$152,139
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Gamba wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$447
N/A
N/A
$444
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Gamba Ōsaka)

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,512
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

United Chiba wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,001
N/A
N/A
$854
Settled
No
kalshi

United Chiba wins by more than 3.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$484
N/A
N/A
$484
Settled
No
kalshi

Gamba wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$453
N/A
N/A
$453
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a J1 League soccer match between JEF United Ichihara Chiba and Gamba Ōsaka on September 6, 2026. Markets exist for whether either team wins or if the match ends in a draw, as well as markets based on the margin of victory.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi offers markets based on margin of victory, while Polymarket focuses on the basic win/loss/draw outcome.Hero tip: Consider the implied probabilities and potential for a narrow win/loss affecting the Kalshi markets. A small win is sufficient for Polymarket, but insufficient for Kalshi's margin-based markets.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on a simple win/loss/draw outcome within 90 minutes + stoppage time. "If JEF United Ichihara Chiba wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
  • Kalshi: Offers markets specifically on winning by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, creating a subset of possible outcomes. "If United Chiba wins by more than 2.5 goals...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Japan J. League game, scheduled for Sunday, September 6, 2026 between JEF United Ichihara Chiba and Gamba Ōsaka.

Kalshi

If United Chiba wins by more than 2.5 goals in the United Chiba vs Gamba professional Japan J1 League soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 6, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If United Chiba wins by more than 1.5 goals in the United Chiba vs Gamba professional Japan J1 League soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 6, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Gamba wins by more than 1.5 goals in the United Chiba vs Gamba professional Japan J1 League soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 6, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Gamba wins by more than 2.5 goals in the United Chiba vs Gamba professional Japan J1 League soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 6, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those seen on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the underlying mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a margin for themselves, while prediction markets are driven by the collective forecasts of users. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, as the wisdom of the crowd tends to be less biased. However, sportsbook odds are more readily available and may reflect different information or risk assessments. Comparing the two can offer a more comprehensive view of the potential outcome of the JEF United vs. Gamba Osaka match.