TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. FC Mito Holly Hock
kalshi
polymarket

JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. FC Mito Holly Hock

Volume:
$374,165

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 11, 2026

Closed: Apr 11, 3:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$55,807
N/A
N/A
$34,065
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. FC Mito Holly Hock)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$19,098
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Mito H

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$114,807
N/A
N/A
$96,786
Settled
No
polymarket

FC Mito Holly Hock

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$47,633
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

United Chiba

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$102,541
N/A
N/A
$77,875
Settled
No
polymarket

JEF United Ichihara Chiba

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34,279
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event is for the upcoming J1 100 Year Vision League game, scheduled for Saturday, April 11, 2026 between JEF United Ichihara Chiba and FC Mito Holly Hock.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market structure is logically contradictory and unresolvable: all three outcomes (United Chiba win, Mito H win, tie) are defined to resolve the same market to YES, making it impossible to distinguish between them. Polymarket uses standard binary logic with three separate markets (one per outcome), which is logically sound and consistent with the underlying event.Hero tip: Avoid Kalshi's market entirely — it cannot be resolved consistently. Trade only on Polymarket's three binary markets (Mito Holly Hock win, JEF United Ichihara Chiba win, Draw), which use proper resolution logic and official J-League sources.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Defines a single market where all three possible outcomes (United Chiba wins, Mito H wins, or tie) resolve to YES, creating a logical contradiction that makes the market unresolvable. The market statement says 'If United Chiba wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Mito H wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes' — meaning every possible outcome triggers YES.
  • Polymarket: Aligned with standard prediction market logic: Offers three separate binary markets, each with mutually exclusive resolution criteria. Market 1 resolves YES only if Mito Holly Hock wins; Market 2 resolves YES only if JEF United Ichihara Chiba wins; Market 3 resolves YES only if the match ends in a draw. Exactly one market will resolve YES based on the actual match outcome. All markets reference 'the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers' (J-League) and include consistent postponement and cancellation rules.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.