TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. FC Mito Holly Hock
Volume:
$374,165
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming J1 100 Year Vision League game, scheduled for Saturday, April 11, 2026 between JEF United Ichihara Chiba and FC Mito Holly Hock.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure is logically contradictory and unresolvable: all three outcomes (United Chiba win, Mito H win, tie) are defined to resolve the same market to YES, making it impossible to distinguish between them. Polymarket uses standard binary logic with three separate markets (one per outcome), which is logically sound and consistent with the underlying event.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi's market entirely — it cannot be resolved consistently. Trade only on Polymarket's three binary markets (Mito Holly Hock win, JEF United Ichihara Chiba win, Draw), which use proper resolution logic and official J-League sources.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Defines a single market where all three possible outcomes (United Chiba wins, Mito H wins, or tie) resolve to YES, creating a logical contradiction that makes the market unresolvable. The market statement says 'If United Chiba wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Mito H wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes' — meaning every possible outcome triggers YES.
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard prediction market logic: Offers three separate binary markets, each with mutually exclusive resolution criteria. Market 1 resolves YES only if Mito Holly Hock wins; Market 2 resolves YES only if JEF United Ichihara Chiba wins; Market 3 resolves YES only if the match ends in a draw. Exactly one market will resolve YES based on the actual match outcome. All markets reference 'the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers' (J-League) and include consistent postponement and cancellation rules.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.