TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 8:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks how quickly an upcoming mixed martial arts bout between Jean Silva and Jose Delgado will conclude. The outcome depends on whether the fight ends within a specific number of rounds, reflecting the potential for a decisive or early conclusion in competitive sports.
The market resolves based on how many rounds are required to conclude the Jean Silva vs. Jose Delgado UFC Fight Night match scheduled for September 12, 2026. Four separate outcome thresholds are defined: resolution occurs if the fight ends before round 2, before round 3, before round 4, or before round 5. Each threshold represents an increasingly lenient condition for a 'Yes' outcome, allowing participants to assess varying degrees of fight duration. All markets share identical secondary disclaimers stating that Kalshi is not officially affiliated with the governing league, and that all trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners. The structure enables speculators to evaluate probabilities across different rounds of potential conclusion for the contest.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise from differing levels of expertise among participants or the influence of public perception. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially when new developments emerge regarding fighter condition or strategy.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of that outcome’s likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect changing expectations. The market operates on the principle of supply and demand; increased buying pressure raises prices, indicating greater confidence in an outcome, while increased selling pressure lowers prices.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the fight – determining which fighter is declared the winner, or if the fight ends in a draw. The platform will rely on established fight records and official announcements to determine the outcome, ensuring a transparent and verifiable resolution process. Traders will then be paid out based on their positions in the market at the time of resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could all influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about fighter weight or strategic adjustments could also lead to price movements. Furthermore, any shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, may also affect the market. The closer we get to Sep 13, 2026, the more sensitive this market will be to any new information that emerges about the fighters’ condition or preparation.