TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 8:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Jean Silva will win his UFC Fight Night bout against Jose Delgado by Knockout, Technical Knockout, or Disqualification. Currently, Kalshi gives a 59.0% probability to Jean Silva winning by KO/TKO/DQ, while a win by Decision is at 14.0%. The market resolves based on the official result of the fight as determined by the UFC, with resolution details available from the provided source. Traders should particularly watch the event on September 12, 2026, as the outcome of the fight itself will directly determine the market’s resolution by the estimated resolution date of September 13, 2026.
The event resolves based on the official result of the Jean Silva vs Jose Delgado UFC Fight Night bout scheduled for September 12, 2026. If Jean Silva wins by KO/TKO/DQ, Submission, or Decision, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Similarly, if Jose Delgado wins by KO/TKO/DQ, Submission, or Decision, that market resolves to Yes. If the fight ends in a draw or no contest, the Draw/No Contest market resolves to Yes. Each market is triggered exclusively by its specific condition being met during the live event, with no overlap or dual resolution across markets. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. If a significant discrepancy emerges, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on Kalshi and a sportsbook. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups, and neither is guaranteed to be perfectly accurate.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible method of victory in the Silva vs Delgado fight. The price of each contract reflects the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, these prices fluctuate, providing a dynamic assessment of the fight’s potential results. The current market prices are driven by supply and demand, with higher demand leading to increased prices and lower implied probabilities.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The method of victory—whether by knockout, technical knockout, decision, or submission—will be determined by the official result announced by the relevant boxing commission. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process, based on the established rules of the sport and the official record of the Silva vs Delgado fight. The outcome will be based on the official ruling, regardless of initial perceptions or media reports.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before the fight takes place. News regarding injuries to either fighter, changes in their training regimens, or even psychological factors like pre-fight trash talk could all influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about weight class changes or potential rule adjustments could also cause shifts in the odds. Furthermore, any updates on the fighters’ physical condition or performance in training camps will be closely watched by traders, potentially leading to substantial movements in the market for the Silva vs Delgado fight.