TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 21, 1:27 PM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming VCT best-of-series match scheduled for 2026-07-21 09:00 UTC: if Trace Esports wins the series, the market will resolve to "Trace Esports"; if JD Gaming wins the series, the market will resolve to "JD Gaming". The series winner is the first team to win a majority of games. Individual games remade due to technical issues do not count as wins toward the series. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. In cases where a team's listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: official VCT broadcast and https://valorantesports.com/; community coverage on vlr.gg may be used as a supplementary source. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
In the upcoming VCT best-of-series match scheduled for 2026-07-21 09:00 UTC: if Trace Esports wins the series, the market will resolve to "Trace Esports"; if JD Gaming wins the series, the market will resolve to "JD Gaming". The series winner is the first team to win a majority of games. Individual games remade due to technical issues do not count as wins toward the series. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. In cases where a team's listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: official VCT broadcast and https://valorantesports.com/; community coverage on vlr.gg may be used as a supplementary source. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders who have real money at stake on the outcome. This market aggregates the collective forecast of participants, which can sometimes offer a more efficient signal than traditional betting lines, especially when new information surfaces quickly. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus breaks down and highlight potential value.
On Opinion, this market is priced through continuous order-book matching, where buyers and sellers post bids and offers that reflect their belief in each outcome. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see represents the last executed trade, and the spread between bid and ask shows the current liquidity and disagreement among traders. As new evidence or analysis emerges, participants update their positions, moving the price dynamically. This mechanism ensures that the odds always reflect the most recent consensus among active traders.
This market resolves around Jul 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution hinges on the final result of the matchup, which will be established through official match records and widely recognized sources. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell positions as new information or analysis influences their outlook. Once the event concludes and the outcome is clear, the market settles and positions are paid out accordingly.
Several catalysts could shift trader sentiment before resolution. Team roster changes, injury announcements, or recent performance trends in competitive play may prompt repricing. Coaching decisions, strategic shifts, or public statements from players can also influence expectations. Betting trends from other venues and community analysis may surface new perspectives. Additionally, head-to-head historical records and meta-game developments in the esports landscape could reshape how traders assess each team's chances. Monitor official team communications and competitive news closely for signals that might reshape the odds.