TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 8:05 AM EST
Kalshi
This market addresses the first map of the League of Legends match between JD Gaming and Ninjas in Pyjamas, scheduled for September 5, 2026. The outcome is determined by which team wins this opening map, with each team having a designated market for a win.
The market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins map 1 of the LPL 2026 JD Gaming vs. Ninjas in Pyjamas League of Legends match scheduled for Sep 5, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, the market resolves based on the official result from the governing body.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular outcome, they can buy contracts here, driving up the price and potentially creating a divergence. This difference can stem from varying levels of information or differing interpretations of available data regarding the JD Gaming vs. Ninjas in Pyjamas match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders set the odds by placing buy and sell orders. The price of a contract representing a specific outcome—in this case, a win for either JD Gaming or Ninjas in Pyjamas on Map 1—fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts predicting a particular team will win, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the probability of each outcome as perceived by the market participants.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of Map 1 in the JD Gaming vs. Ninjas in Pyjamas match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the tournament organizers. The winning team of Map 1 will determine the payout of contracts on Kalshi. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the market’s settlement.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 5, 2026. Unexpected news regarding player form, potential roster changes for either JD Gaming or Ninjas in Pyjamas, or even strategic shifts revealed during the early stages of the tournament could all impact trader sentiment. Major upsets in other matches within the tournament could also lead to reassessments of team strengths and affect the odds. Any information that alters perceptions of each team’s chances of winning Map 1 has the potential to move this market.