TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 4, 1:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Men In Blue CC and Wyverns CC scheduled for 2026-06-27 in JCL T20. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Men In Blue CC will be considered correct if Men In Blue CC is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Wyverns CC will be considered correct if Wyverns CC is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Men In Blue CC and Wyverns CC scheduled for 2026-06-27 in JCL T20. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Men In Blue CC will be considered correct if Men In Blue CC is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Wyverns CC will be considered correct if Wyverns CC is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms and participant bases. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are priced by traders seeking to profit on accurate forecasts. Prediction markets tend to aggregate dispersed information efficiently over time, sometimes offering sharper odds than traditional sportsbooks. However, sportsbook odds may move faster in response to breaking news or injury reports. Comparing the two can reveal valuable discrepancies, though prediction market prices are generally considered a strong real-time gauge of true probability.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker (AMM) model where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome fluctuates based on the ratio of shares in the pool; as more traders buy one outcome, its price rises and the competing outcome's price falls. This mechanism ensures continuous liquidity and transparent pricing. Traders profit by buying low and selling high, or by correctly predicting the toss result before the event concludes. The market's price at any moment reflects the collective belief of all active participants.
This market resolves around Jul 4, 2026, once the JCL T20 toss has taken place and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will be confirmed based on which team wins the coin toss at the start of the match. Resolution occurs shortly after the event concludes and the official result is published. Until that time, traders can continue to buy and sell shares. Once resolved, payouts are distributed automatically to holders of the winning outcome.
Several factors can shift odds in this market before the toss occurs. Team news, such as injury updates or lineup changes, may influence trader sentiment about which captain is more likely to win the toss or prefer a particular pitch condition. Weather forecasts could affect perceived advantage, since teams might adjust their toss strategy based on expected conditions. Social media sentiment, expert commentary, and historical head-to-head toss records may also sway the market. As the match date approaches and more information emerges, sharp traders will adjust positions, causing price swings. Late-breaking developments or shifts in public perception can trigger significant volume spikes.