TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 17, 9:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Kawasaki Knight Riders CC and Tokyo Titans CC scheduled for 2026-07-10 in JCL T20. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Kawasaki Knight Riders CC will be considered correct if Kawasaki Knight Riders CC is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Tokyo Titans CC will be considered correct if Tokyo Titans CC is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Kawasaki Knight Riders CC and Tokyo Titans CC scheduled for 2026-07-10 in JCL T20. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Kawasaki Knight Riders CC will be considered correct if Kawasaki Knight Riders CC is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Tokyo Titans CC will be considered correct if Tokyo Titans CC is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time trader sentiment rather than fixed lines set by oddsmakers. On this market, participants continuously adjust prices based on team news, weather, pitch conditions, and other factors leading up to the match. Sportsbooks typically adjust lines more slowly and incorporate margin for profit, whereas prediction markets aggregate distributed knowledge from many traders with direct financial incentive to price outcomes accurately. Comparing the two can reveal where public opinion differs from professional bookmaker assessment.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker (AMM) mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the ratio of liquidity allocated to it; as traders buy shares in one outcome, its price rises and the competing outcome's price falls. This continuous pricing model ensures real-time discovery of fair value. Traders profit by buying underpriced outcomes and selling overpriced ones, which naturally drives prices toward consensus probability.
This market resolves around Jul 18, 2026, once the toss result from the match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official toss call recorded at the ground. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as new information emerges. Resolution is automatic once the event concludes and the result is confirmed, at which time winning positions are paid out and losing positions expire worthless.
Several factors could shift prices before the match begins. Weather forecasts—particularly wind patterns—often influence toss predictions since conditions affect coin behavior. Team news, including last-minute injuries or lineup changes, may prompt traders to reassess. Venue-specific historical data on toss outcomes at this ground could spark trading activity. Social media sentiment and expert commentary from cricket analysts may also sway trader conviction. As match day approaches, liquidity typically increases and prices stabilize, reflecting the market's final consensus on the toss outcome.