TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 5, 1:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Alpha Quashers Yokohama CC and Tokyo Falcons CC scheduled for 2026-06-28 in JCL T20. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Alpha Quashers Yokohama CC will be considered correct if Alpha Quashers Yokohama CC is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Tokyo Falcons CC will be considered correct if Tokyo Falcons CC is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Alpha Quashers Yokohama CC and Tokyo Falcons CC scheduled for 2026-06-28 in JCL T20. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Alpha Quashers Yokohama CC will be considered correct if Alpha Quashers Yokohama CC is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Tokyo Falcons CC will be considered correct if Tokyo Falcons CC is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and audiences. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, incorporating margins that favor the house. Prediction markets, by contrast, aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery, where participants directly stake capital on outcomes they believe are mispriced. This market reflects pure crowd sentiment without a built-in house edge, making it a useful benchmark for comparing against traditional betting lines and identifying where public perception may differ from professional oddsmakers.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Buyers and sellers directly influence the probability by purchasing or selling shares of each outcome, with the platform's algorithm adjusting prices to reflect supply and demand. The top outcome currently reflects the crowd's strongest conviction about the toss result. As more traders participate or new information surfaces, prices shift dynamically to equilibrate the market and reward accurate predictions.
This market resolves around Jul 5, 2026, once the toss outcome from the Alpha Quashers Yokohama CC versus Tokyo Falcons CC match is verified against credible public sources. The result will be confirmed based on the official match record and toss call. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. Resolution timing depends on when the match concludes and the result is publicly confirmed by the league or official broadcasters.
Several factors could shift this market before resolution. Weather conditions or pitch reports released closer to match day may influence trader expectations about which team wins the toss or the subsequent match outcome. Team news, injury announcements, or lineup changes could alter perceived advantage and indirectly affect toss-related sentiment. Social media discussion, expert commentary, or historical head-to-head toss records might sway trader conviction. As the match date approaches and more concrete information emerges, prices typically become more volatile and reflective of late-breaking developments.