TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 7:58 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Júbilo Iwata and Vanraure Hachinohe FC, scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Júbilo Iwata" if Júbilo Iwata are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Vanraure Hachinohe FC" if Vanraure Hachinohe FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Júbilo Iwata and Vanraure Hachinohe FC, scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Júbilo Iwata" if Júbilo Iwata are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Vanraure Hachinohe FC" if Vanraure Hachinohe FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective wisdom of the crowd. Traders are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome, as profitable trades are rewarded. This creates a market where the price of a share closely approximates the true probability of the corresponding event occurring. The current price reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Júbilo Iwata versus Vanraure Hachinohe FC match. Official match reports and verified sources will determine the first goalscorer, and that information will be used to settle the market. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and any relevant supporting documentation on Polymarket following the match’s completion.
News regarding player fitness, such as injuries or suspensions to key forwards on either Júbilo Iwata or Vanraure Hachinohe FC, would be a major catalyst for price movement in this market. Tactical announcements from either manager, especially if they reveal a surprising starting lineup or formation, could also shift predictions. Furthermore, any significant changes in betting odds from traditional sportsbooks, or a strong consensus emerging from football analysts, could influence traders on Polymarket and impact the price of shares before the market resolves around Sep 26, 2026.