TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 7:46 AM EST
Kalshi
This event concerns the Japan versus Venezuela international friendly match set for September 28, 2026, focusing on whether each team scores at least one goal during the 90 minutes plus stoppage time of regular play.
If Japan and Venezuela both score a goal in the Japan vs Venezuela Intl Friendlies match originally scheduled for Sep 28, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly as an event approaches. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market aggregates the diverse opinions of informed traders. However, initial sportsbook lines can sometimes offer value before the prediction market fully incorporates all available information. It’s always wise to compare both to get a comprehensive view of the expected outcome and potential value.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing 'Yes' or 'No' outcomes for both teams to score. The price of each contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if more people believe both teams will score, the 'Yes' contract price will increase, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Japan and Venezuela score at least one goal during the match. If either team fails to score, the 'No' outcome will prevail. The result will be determined by the official match statistics and verified against credible public sources, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process.
Several factors could influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Japan or Venezuela would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical approaches, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected lineup announcements or pre-match analysis suggesting a change in offensive strategy could also shift the probabilities. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact on the likelihood of both teams scoring is crucial for informed trading in this market.