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Japan vs. Venezuela
predict
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Japan vs Venezuela?

Volume:
$3,138,864

Japan

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 28, 2026

Closed: Sep 28, 8:30 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Japan

View
100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$791,512
N/A
N/A
$339,534
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Japan

View
100%
26%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$347,303
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

JPN

View
99%
24%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$10,383
$323,857
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

VEN

View
1%
9%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
N/A
$187,577
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Venezuela

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$910,442
N/A
N/A
$520,865
Settled
No
polymarket

Venezuela

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$108,196
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Draw

View
1%
16%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$141
$54,719
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$341,007
N/A
N/A
$156,538
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Japan vs. Venezuela)

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$74,253
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a FIFA International Friendly soccer match between Japan and Venezuela, scheduled for September 28, 2026, asking whether Japan will win. Currently, the consensus probability of Japan winning is 99.0%, with a 1.0% probability of a draw. This aggregate reflects views from Predict, Kalshi, and Polymarket, and will resolve based on official match statistics, with potential fallbacks to Flashscore and Sofascore as detailed in the resolution source. Keep an eye on the match itself as it unfolds on September 28, 2026, to see if any unexpected developments challenge the strong expectation of a Japanese victory.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Divergence in cancellation handling and source preference. Polymarket specifies a 'Yes' resolution for the draw market if the game is canceled, while Kalshi does not explicitly address this scenario.Hero tip: Be mindful of the cancellation risk. Polymarket's draw market offers a hedge against game cancellation, while Kalshi's win markets would likely lose value.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on official stats with fallbacks. If canceled, Japan/Venezuela win markets resolve 'No', draw market resolves 'Yes'.
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on official stats after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Cancellation handling is not explicitly defined.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Monday, September 28, 2026 between Japan and Venezuela.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Japan vs Venezuela professional international friendly soccer match scheduled for September 28, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Three distinct markets correspond to possible outcomes: Japan win, Venezuela win, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team securing a victory within regulation time, the respective market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regulation, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per the platform's guidelines. The resolution strictly considers the result within regulation time, with no account for post-regulation proceedings such as extra time or penalties.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Monday, September 28, 2026 between Japan and Venezuela.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the Japan vs. Venezuela match. Currently, the aggregated view shows a consensus leaning towards a particular result, with a combined volume of $3,138,864. This allows users to see how predictions are evolving across both platforms, providing a broader perspective than looking at any single market in isolation. The current aggregated probability reflects the collective wisdom of traders on Polymarket and Predict regarding the Japan vs. Venezuela match.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources involved. Sportsbooks primarily aim to set lines that balance betting action and ensure profit, while prediction markets incentivize participants to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets reflecting a more nuanced and potentially more accurate assessment of probabilities, especially when a large volume of traders participate. The 24-hour volume for this market is $2,792,385, indicating active trading and evolving probabilities.