TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 24, 10:07 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Japan and Uruguay, scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 6:05 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Japan" if Japan are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Uruguay" if Uruguay are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Japan and Uruguay, scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 6:05 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Japan" if Japan are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Uruguay" if Uruguay are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of each team scoring first. If there's a significant discrepancy, it might suggest that prediction market participants have access to, or interpret, information differently than sportsbooks. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast probabilities, especially when there’s strong public interest and active trading.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the market price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the likelihood of Japan or Uruguay scoring first. The market's efficiency depends on the volume of trading and the information available to participants, and the current price represents the best available estimate of each team's chances.
This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Japan vs. Uruguay match. The official match records will be used to determine the winning outcome. It’s important to note that any potential delays or postponements of the match could affect the resolution timeline, but the outcome will always be determined by the official result of the game.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding team lineups, player injuries, or changes in coaching strategy could significantly impact the perceived chances of either team scoring first. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match analysis from respected sports commentators could also sway market sentiment. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, as reflected in social media or other polls, could drive trading volume and alter the price of shares in this market.