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Japan vs Sweden: Spread
kalshi

Japan vs Sweden: Spread

Volume:
$3,041,534

Japan wins by over 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Japan wins by over 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 26, 2026

Closed: Jun 25, 9:01 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Japan wins by over 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,762,359
N/A
N/A
$1,020,679
Settled
No
kalshi

Sweden wins by over 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$578,888
N/A
N/A
$306,528
Settled
No
kalshi

Japan wins by over 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$478,161
N/A
N/A
$318,557
Settled
No
kalshi

Sweden wins by over 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$222,126
N/A
N/A
$171,119
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Intro

This market tracks whether Japan or Sweden will win their FIFA World Cup soccer match by a margin exceeding 1.5 goals during the 90-minute regulation period plus stoppage time. On Kalshi, the probability that Japan wins by over 1.5 goals stands at 1.0%, while Sweden wins by over 1.5 goals is at 1.0%. Resolution will be determined by the official match result on June 25, 2026, when the two teams face off in World Cup play.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the goal differential after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties) in the Japan vs Sweden professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 25, 2026. Outcomes track whether Japan wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, or whether Sweden wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. The market does not resolve for ties or victories within the specified goal margins.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook spreads because they reflect real-money trader conviction rather than bookmaker margins. Sportsbooks adjust lines to balance action and lock in profit; prediction markets aggregate dispersed information from many participants with direct financial incentive to be accurate. For Japan vs Sweden: Spread, comparing Kalshi pricing to major sportsbook lines can reveal whether the market is pricing the spread tighter or wider, signaling different risk assessments of team performance.

On Kalshi, Japan vs Sweden: Spread is priced as a binary contract reflecting whether the actual match spread will fall within or outside a specified range. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with the price representing the implied probability of the outcome. As new information emerges—team injuries, recent form, betting action—the price adjusts in real time. Your profit or loss depends on the final resolution price relative to your entry price.

The Japan vs Sweden: Spread market resolves on Jun 26, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official final spread recorded at the end of the match. The specific spread threshold and outcome criteria are defined in the market's terms at creation. Once the match concludes and the final score is official, the spread is calculated and compared against the market's predetermined condition to determine whether the contract settles to 0 or 100 cents.

Key catalysts for Japan vs Sweden: Spread include team roster changes, injury announcements, recent match results, and official line movements from major sportsbooks. Tactical shifts, coaching decisions, and player form updates can shift trader expectations about the final margin. Weather conditions, venue factors, and head-to-head history may also influence how traders price the spread. Monitor sports news and team updates closely; significant developments often trigger rapid repricing on Kalshi as informed traders adjust positions ahead of kickoff.