TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 25, 9:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on whether both Japan and Sweden score at least one goal each during the second half of their FIFA World Cup match on June 25, 2026. Only goals scored after halftime are counted, including own goals credited to the scoring team.
If Japan and Sweden both score a goal in the 2nd Half of the Japan vs Sweden FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled for Jun 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds reflect real-time consensus from traders with financial incentive to forecast accurately, whereas traditional analysts often publish static reports before major events. This market aggregates dispersed information—team form, injury news, weather, and tactical adjustments—into a single price. Traders who outperform consensus earn profit, creating a self-correcting mechanism. Comparing this market's implied probability to published expert predictions can reveal where professional opinion diverges from crowd wisdom, helping you identify potential value or consensus blind spots.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares representing a yes or no outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective expectation of whether both teams will score in the second half. As new information emerges—lineups, early match events, or tactical shifts—traders adjust their positions, moving the price up or down. This dynamic pricing ensures the market continuously incorporates fresh signals and trader conviction.
This market resolves around Jun 26, 2026, once the Japan vs Sweden match concludes and the second-half result is verified. The outcome is determined by whether both teams score at least one goal each during the second half only. Resolution is confirmed once the final score is verifiable from credible public sources covering the match. Early or first-half goals do not affect this market; only second-half goals count toward settlement.
Key catalysts include team lineups and injury announcements, which alter attacking or defensive capability. Early first-half events—such as a goal, red card, or tactical adjustment—often shift expectations for second-half scoring patterns. Weather conditions, pitch quality, and referee assignments can also influence play. As the match progresses, actual second-half scoring will directly settle the outcome, so any goal or near-miss in that period typically triggers sharp price movement. Pre-match odds may also shift if betting syndicates or sharp traders adjust positions based on new information.