TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 9:58 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Nepal will win its men’s professional cricket match against Japan at the Asian Games. Currently, Kalshi gives Nepal a 96.0% probability of winning, while Japan is at 7.0%. The market resolves based on the official result of the match as determined by the Asian Games organizers, with resolution details available from the event schedule. Keep an eye on the match itself, scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, as the outcome of this fixture will determine the market’s resolution.
If Japan wins the Japan vs Nepal men's professional Asian Games Men cricket match originally scheduled for Sep 25, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nepal wins the Japan vs Nepal men's professional Asian Games Men cricket match originally scheduled for Sep 25, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate differing opinions on the likely result. It's important to remember that both represent probabilities, but they are derived through different mechanisms and may appeal to different types of bettors.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Japan vs Nepal match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in the market, and any outstanding contracts will be settled accordingly. The market’s resolution is independent of any pre-match predictions or analyses; it is solely determined by the actual result of the event.
Several signals could influence this market before Sep 26, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Significant pre-match analysis from sports analysts, or even major shifts in public opinion, could also impact the market. Unexpected announcements relating to the match, such as venue changes or rule modifications, would likely cause price fluctuations. Monitoring these factors can help you understand potential movements in this market and inform your trading decisions.