TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 31, 6:25 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the Japan versus Iceland FIFA International Friendly will see more than 0.5 goals scored during the match. On Polymarket, the over 0.5 goals outcome is priced at 97.5%, reflecting strong consensus that at least one goal will be scored. Resolution will be determined by official FIFA records. The match is scheduled for May 31 at 6:25 AM ET, providing the key catalyst for settlement.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-time consensus from thousands of traders and often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks set fixed spreads and odds to balance liability, prediction markets like Polymarket allow continuous price discovery based on live trading. The Japan vs. Iceland - More Markets contract shows how decentralized participants value the Spread: Japan (-2.5) outcome relative to the broader betting market. Comparing Polymarket probabilities to major sportsbook spreads can reveal whether prediction market traders are pricing Japan's advantage more or less aggressively than conventional bookmakers.
The Japan vs. Iceland - More Markets prediction market resolves on May 31, 2026. Resolution occurs after the match concludes and the final result is confirmed. The outcome is determined by whether Japan covers the spread of minus-2.5 points against Iceland. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. The exact resolution criteria and data sources used to settle the contract are specified in the market's terms, ensuring all participants understand how the final determination will be made.
Several factors could shift odds for Japan vs. Iceland - More Markets before May 31, 2026. Team news such as key player injuries, roster changes, or tactical announcements may alter perceptions of Japan's ability to cover minus-2.5. Recent form, head-to-head records, and performance trends in qualifying or warm-up matches influence trader sentiment. Weather conditions, home-field advantage, and historical scoring patterns also drive price movement. Major betting syndicates or sharp money entering the market can trigger rapid repricing. As match day approaches, late-breaking developments and expert analysis typically increase trading volume and volatility on Polymarket.