TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 29, 9:27 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the volleyball match between Japan and China in the FIVB Nations League, originally scheduled for July 29 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Japan" if Japan wins the match. It will resolve to "China" if China wins the match. If a team withdraws, forfeits, is defaulted, or is disqualified after the match begins, this market will resolve in favor of the team officially credited with the win. If the match begins but is not completed and no winner is officially declared, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin for any reason — including cancellation, pre-match withdrawal, walkover, or forfeit before play begins — or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official FIVB results.
This market refers to the volleyball match between Japan and China in the FIVB Nations League, originally scheduled for July 29 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Japan" if Japan wins the match. It will resolve to "China" if China wins the match. If a team withdraws, forfeits, is defaulted, or is disqualified after the match begins, this market will resolve in favor of the team officially credited with the win. If the match begins but is not completed and no winner is officially declared, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin for any reason — including cancellation, pre-match withdrawal, walkover, or forfeit before play begins — or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official FIVB results.
On Polymarket, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often differ due to varying participant dynamics and market design. Traders on Polymarket may price in different factors compared to sportsbooks, such as perceived team momentum or injury updates. The resulting probabilities can therefore appear higher or lower than standard sportsbook odds for the same Japan vs. China football match market. These differences highlight how decentralized markets aggregate diverse opinions, sometimes leading to unique insights not captured by conventional betting lines.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders manually set prices through buying and selling contracts that represent possible outcomes. The current probability reflects the ratio of yes to no shares traded, adjusted for fees. As the match date nears, news, team announcements, or performance updates can cause rapid shifts in these probabilities. Volume of $1,779 and recent activity of $1,276 also influence how prices evolve on the platform.
This market resolves around Aug 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will reflect the official match conclusion, and all contracts are settled automatically based on that verified data. Timing is tied directly to when the match ends and the result is beyond dispute, ensuring a clear and timely resolution for all participants.
Several key developments could shift probabilities in this market before Aug 5, 2026. Major injuries to star players, changes in coaching strategies, or critical performances in preceding matches may all influence trader expectations. Additionally, weather conditions on match day, disciplinary actions such as suspensions, and even political or logistical factors affecting team preparation could impact odds. As the event draws nearer, real-time updates from training sessions, media reports, and fan sentiment may further sway the market, reflecting the latest information available to participants on Polymarket.