TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 4:44 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Shintaro Mochizuki and Jaime Faria in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shintaro Mochizuki' if Shintaro Mochizuki advances against Jaime Faria. This market will resolve to 'Jaime Faria' if Jaime Faria advances against Shintaro Mochizuki. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Shintaro Mochizuki and Jaime Faria in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shintaro Mochizuki' if Shintaro Mochizuki advances against Jaime Faria. This market will resolve to 'Jaime Faria' if Jaime Faria advances against Shintaro Mochizuki. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders, aims to represent the true probability of an event occurring, though discrepancies can arise due to differing information or risk assessments. It’s common to see prediction markets reflecting sharper odds, especially as the event approaches and more traders participate.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Shintaro Mochizuki versus Jaime Faria qualification match at the Japan Open Tennis Championships. The platform will verify the match result against official tournament data to determine the winning outcome and finalize the market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries to either Shintaro Mochizuki or Jaime Faria, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other qualifying matches, or even weather forecasts impacting the tournament schedule, could also play a role. A significant influx of trading volume, driven by new information or a change in public perception, would likely cause noticeable price movements in this market.