TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria
- Polymarket
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 29, 2026
Closed: Sep 29, 5:23 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Adolfo Vallejo will advance against Jaime Faria in their Japan Open Tennis Championships Qualification match. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to Adolfo Vallejo winning the match. Resolution will be based on the official results reported at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Keep an eye on the originally scheduled match date of September 29, 2026 at 1:00AM ET, as this is when the outcome will become clear and the market will resolve.
This market refers to the tennis match between Adolfo Vallejo and Jaime Faria in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adolfo Vallejo' if Adolfo Vallejo advances against Jaime Faria. This market will resolve to 'Jaime Faria' if Jaime Faria advances against Adolfo Vallejo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market’s odds are determined by supply and demand among individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market's lifecycle, as prediction markets can incorporate information and insights not immediately reflected in sportsbook lines. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the perceived probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Adolfo Vallejo versus Jaime Faria qualification match at the Japan Open is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will reflect which player advanced to the next stage of the tournament. Resolution will be based on the official tournament results as reported by recognized tennis authorities. Any disputes will be handled according to Polymarket’s market resolution guidelines.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market. News regarding player fitness, such as an injury to either Adolfo Vallejo or Jaime Faria, would likely cause significant movement. Unexpected changes in playing conditions, like weather delays or court surface adjustments, could also impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, any updates on their recent performance or head-to-head records might sway trader sentiment. Even general shifts in public opinion or betting activity could contribute to changes in the price of shares in this market.