TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 29, 3:50 PM EST
Kalshi
A player from the Japanese national team will compete to score during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup.
Each market resolves to Yes if the designated Japanese player scores a goal during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup. Goals are counted during regulation time, stoppage time, and extra time; goals scored in penalty shootouts do not count. If a player does not enter any game during the tournament, the market resolves to No. Players must participate in at least one match for the market to have a chance of resolving Yes. These markets are descriptive references only and are not endorsed by FIFA or affiliated with FIFA in any way.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time trader sentiment rather than fixed bookmaker lines. Sportsbooks typically adjust odds more slowly and include built-in margins, while prediction markets update instantly as new information emerges. For Japan: Goalscorers, comparing Kalshi prices to major sportsbooks can reveal arbitrage opportunities or consensus shifts about player form and starting lineups. Prediction markets tend to be more responsive to breaking news like injuries or tactical changes announced just before kickoff.
On Kalshi, Japan: Goalscorers contracts are priced as binary outcomes tied to specific players scoring during designated matches. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each contract trades between 0 and 100 cents, where the price reflects the implied probability that the player will score. Traders buy contracts they believe are underpriced and sell those they view as overpriced. Kalshi's order book aggregates all buy and sell interest, and prices move as supply and demand shift. The tighter the spread between bid and ask prices, the more liquid and efficient the market for that particular goalscorer contract.
The Japan: Goalscorers market resolves on Jul 20, 2026. Resolution is determined by official match records and goal-scoring data from Japan's fixtures during the event window. Each contract settles based on whether the specified player scored during their designated match. Kalshi uses verified sports data sources to confirm outcomes and settle all contracts accordingly. Traders should monitor the official match schedule and any postponements or rescheduling that could affect the resolution timeline.
Key catalysts for Japan: Goalscorers prices include player injuries, lineup announcements, and recent form trends. Roster changes or tactical shifts by the coaching staff can significantly alter scoring expectations for specific players. International friendlies or qualifying matches immediately before the event window often signal momentum and confidence. Weather conditions, opponent strength, and home-field advantage also influence goalscorer probabilities. Breaking news about player transfers, suspensions, or illness can trigger sharp price moves. Traders should monitor team news, training reports, and pre-match press conferences for signals that could shift market sentiment on individual goalscorer contracts.