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Japan: First Goalscorer
kalshi

Japan: First Goalscorer

Volume:
$693

Keito Nakamura

 - Kalshi

Keito Nakamura - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 15, 2026

Closed: Jun 14, 9:20 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Keito Nakamura

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$693
N/A
N/A
$693
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Yuto Nagatomo

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Wataru Endo

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Shogo Taniguchi

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ritsu Doan

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ao Tanaka

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Takehiro Tomiyasu

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Junya Ito

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Kou Itakura

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Daichi Kamada

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Koki Ogawa

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Daizen Maeda

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ayumu Seko

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Hiroki Ito

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Takefusa Kubo

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Yukinari Sugawara

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tsuyoshi Watanabe

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ayase Ueda

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Kaishu Sano

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Yuito Suzuki

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Junnosuke Suzuki

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Keisuke Goto

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Kento Shiogai

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

No Goalscorer

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 24

Description

During the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, this event concerns which player will score the first goal for Japan (excluding own goals).

Kalshi

The market resolves Yes for whichever Japanese player scores the first legitimate goal during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup. Own goals are excluded from consideration; if the first goal credited to Japan is an own goal, resolution is based on the next goal scored by a Japanese player that is not an own goal. Goals scored during regulation time, stoppage time, and extra time all count toward this market. Goals scored during penalty shootouts do not count. All players who do not score the first qualifying goal resolve to No, regardless of whether they participated in any match. If no Japanese player scores a goal throughout the tournament, the No Goalscorer outcome resolves Yes. Players are evaluated only on whether they score the first qualifying goal; participation in matches is irrelevant to resolution for non-first-goalscorers.

Frequently asked questions

The Japan: First Goalscorer dashboard on Kalshi tracks real-time odds and historical price movements for all eligible goalscorer outcomes in this event. You can monitor current implied probabilities, 24-hour trading volume of $713, and cumulative group volume of $693 to gauge market interest and liquidity. The dashboard displays how odds shift as new information emerges, allowing traders to identify value and timing opportunities before the market resolves on Jul 20, 2026.

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money consensus from traders betting on Japan's first goalscorer, while analyst forecasts typically rely on statistical models, team form, and historical performance data. Markets often incorporate breaking news—injuries, lineup changes, or tactical shifts—faster than published analyst predictions. Comparing Kalshi implied probabilities to expert consensus can reveal whether the crowd is pricing in information analysts have not yet updated, helping you spot potential edges before Jul 20, 2026.

On Kalshi, Japan: First Goalscorer outcomes are priced as binary contracts reflecting the probability each eligible player scores first. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices range from 0 to 100 cents, where higher prices indicate stronger market conviction. Traders buy contracts they believe are underpriced and sell those they view as overvalued. Kalshi's order book aggregates supply and demand, with spreads tightening as volume increases, allowing you to execute trades at prices reflecting current market sentiment.

Key catalysts include official team lineups and starting XI announcements, which shift odds toward players confirmed to start. Injury updates or late roster changes can dramatically reprrice favorites. Pre-match analysis and media coverage highlighting form, head-to-head records, or tactical matchups influence trader positioning. Weather conditions, opponent defensive strategy, and real-time match events like early goals or red cards all drive price movement. Monitor team news channels and official announcements closely leading up to Jul 20, 2026 for maximum edge.