TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 31, 10:00 AM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of yellow and red cards received by Japan and Iceland (players only) is 4 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the Friendlies match scheduled for May 31, 2026, 10:25 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than July 31, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Limitless, the Japan and Iceland have 4 or more total cards event is priced as a binary contract reflecting the probability traders assign to the outcome by Jun 1, 2026. The price moves continuously as new information arrives—such as team lineups, referee assignments, or pre-match tactical announcements—and as traders adjust their positions. Limitless uses an order-book model, so the spread between bid and ask reflects current liquidity and disagreement among participants about whether the combined card count will reach four or exceed it.
The market resolves on Jun 1, 2026, after the Japan–Iceland match concludes. Resolution is determined by the official final card count issued by the match referee and confirmed by the governing football authority. The outcome is binary: if Japan and Iceland receive four or more combined yellow or red cards, the affirmative resolves to 100 percent; otherwise it resolves to zero. Traders should monitor official match records and any post-match reviews or appeals that might affect the final tally.
Key catalysts include official team-sheet announcements revealing suspended or injured players, which may alter tactical aggression and foul risk. Referee assignment details matter significantly, as some officials maintain stricter or more lenient card standards. Pre-match news about tactical instructions, rivalry intensity, or player disciplinary records can shift trader expectations. Live match developments—early fouls, aggressive play, or a goal swing—will drive real-time repricing. Weather conditions and pitch quality may also influence physicality and card frequency, causing traders to adjust positions throughout the trading window leading up to kickoff.