TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 1:49 AM EST
Kalshi
This market determines if the James Madison versus San Diego State college football contest set for September 19, 2026, goes into overtime. Overtime occurs after the regular game time concludes, with additional periods used until a decisive result is reached. The outcome depends exclusively on whether the game stretches beyond its normal timeframe.
If at least 1 overtime period is played in the James Madison vs San Diego St. college football game originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, arbitrage opportunities may emerge for informed traders. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual outcome of the James Madison vs San Diego State game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of overtime in the James Madison vs San Diego State game. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of overtime, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the James Madison vs San Diego State game is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether the game officially goes into overtime, as determined by the official game statistics. The market will settle to 100 if overtime occurs, and to 0 if the game concludes without overtime. All trading will cease once the outcome is known and officially reported.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either James Madison or San Diego State would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to a low-scoring game, could also move the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might prompt traders to reassess the probability of overtime. Public sentiment, as reflected in sports news and social media, can also play a role.