TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
James Madison Dukes vs. Kentucky Wildcats (W)
Volume:
$3,954
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between James Madison Dukes and Kentucky Wildcats scheduled for March 21, 2026. Polymarket resolves on head-to-head winner, while Kalshi offers 11 separate over/under markets on combined team scoring at various thresholds.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Two distinct market types covering the same underlying game event. Polymarket resolves on winner; Kalshi resolves on aggregate scoring. No logical contradiction, but zero correlation in settlement logic.Hero Tip:
These markets serve different prediction purposes. Polymarket bettors should focus on team strength and matchup analysis. Kalshi bettors should focus on pace, defensive efficiency, and scoring trends. Do not assume one market outcome predicts the other.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all market. Resolves to James Madison Dukes or Kentucky Wildcats based on final score including overtime. Cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Source: NCAA official records.
- Kalshi: 11 independent over/under markets on combined team points. Each threshold (114.5 through 144.5) is a separate Yes/No contract. All reference the same March 21, 2026 game but measure aggregate scoring, not winner.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.