TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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James Madison Dukes vs. Kentucky Wildcats (W)
kalshi
polymarket

James Madison Dukes vs. Kentucky Wildcats (W)

Volume:
$3,954

Over 123.5 points scored

 - Kalshi

Over 123.5 points scored - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 17, 2026

Closed: Mar 21, 5:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Over 123.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$435
N/A
N/A
$434
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 126.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$119
N/A
N/A
$96
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 117.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 120.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 114.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 135.5 points scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,333
N/A
N/A
$1,333
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 141.5 points scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,197
N/A
N/A
$1,195
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 129.5 points scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$457
N/A
N/A
$359
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 144.5 points scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$188
N/A
N/A
$179
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 138.5 points scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$114
N/A
N/A
$113
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 132.5 points scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$107
N/A
N/A
$107
Settled
No
polymarket

James Madison Dukes vs. Kentucky Wildcats (W)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 12

Description

This event group covers a women's college basketball game between James Madison Dukes and Kentucky Wildcats scheduled for March 21, 2026. Polymarket resolves on head-to-head winner, while Kalshi offers 11 separate over/under markets on combined team scoring at various thresholds.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Two distinct market types covering the same underlying game event. Polymarket resolves on winner; Kalshi resolves on aggregate scoring. No logical contradiction, but zero correlation in settlement logic.Hero tip: These markets serve different prediction purposes. Polymarket bettors should focus on team strength and matchup analysis. Kalshi bettors should focus on pace, defensive efficiency, and scoring trends. Do not assume one market outcome predicts the other.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all market. Resolves to James Madison Dukes or Kentucky Wildcats based on final score including overtime. Cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Source: NCAA official records.
  • Kalshi: 11 independent over/under markets on combined team points. Each threshold (114.5 through 144.5) is a separate Yes/No contract. All reference the same March 21, 2026 game but measure aggregate scoring, not winner.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.