TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 22, 7:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting whether Jamall Emmers or Lerryan Douglas will secure a victory via knockout, technical knockout, submission, or disqualification within a specific round of their scheduled UFC Fight Night bout. Alternatively, it considers if the fight concludes with a decision, draw, or no contest across all rounds.
The event determines the method and round of victory between Jamall Emmers and Lerryan Douglas in their UFC Fight Night match scheduled for August 22, 2026. Markets resolve to Yes if either fighter wins by knockout (KO), technical knockout (TKO), submission, or disqualification (DQ) in Rounds 1, 2, or 3 specifically. A 'Decision / Draw / No Contest' market resolves to Yes if either fighter wins by decision, or the fight ends in a draw or no contest at any point during the full contest. Importantly, a technical decision is treated as a decision for settlement purposes and does not count as a win in any particular round, thus influencing the respective round-specific markets negatively while affirming the 'Decision / Draw / No Contest' outcome. The markets are independent, with each round and outcome category clearly defined, ensuring precise resolution based on the exact manner and timing of the fight's conclusion.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds adjust dynamically based on real-time trading activity, while sportsbooks set fixed lines that may incorporate additional factors like public betting trends and house edges. The difference often results in more volatile pricing on Kalshi, especially as new information emerges about fighter form, injuries, or changes in strategy. Traders should compare this market to sportsbook odds for context, but remember that prediction markets emphasize crowd-sourced forecasting rather than bookmaker assessments.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set prices through continuous bidding and asking, which determines the current implied probability for each possible round outcome. The market price adjusts instantly to new information, such as fighter injuries, training updates, or betting trends, reflecting collective trader expectations for when the match might end.
This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact round in which the fight concludes will be the final settlement, based on official records from the sanctioned bout.