TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 11:58 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the Concacaf Nations League game, scheduled for September 28 at 8:00 PM ET.
More markets for the Concacaf Nations League game, scheduled for September 28 at 8:00 PM ET.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance their books and profit from margins. This market, however, allows individuals to express their own beliefs, potentially leading to odds that more accurately predict the actual outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply a broader range of perspectives represented in the prediction market. It's useful to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, indicating growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring, allowing traders to express their views and profit if their predictions are correct. The market dynamically adjusts as new information and opinions are incorporated by traders.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Jamaica vs. Honduras match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sporting body. The platform will then determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final match results to understand when this market will be settled and how their positions will be evaluated.
Several factors could significantly influence this market leading up to Sep 29, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, updates on team performance in preceding matches, tactical adjustments, or even public statements from coaches or players could all contribute to price movements. Unexpected upsets in related matches or broader shifts in public perception of team strengths could also impact trading activity and the overall odds for this market.