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2,689

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5

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Jamaica vs. Honduras
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Jamaica vs. Honduras?

Volume:
$2,983,245

Honduras

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 29, 2026

Closed: Sep 28, 9:55 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Honduras

View
100%
63%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$813,673
N/A
N/A
$393,726
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Honduras

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$70,945
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jamaica

View
0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,413,545
N/A
N/A
$812,739
Settled
No
polymarket

Jamaica

View
0%
43%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$124,470
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$538,195
N/A
N/A
$362,724
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Jamaica vs. Honduras)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,417
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a Jamaica versus Honduras soccer match on September 28, 2026, as part of the Concacaf Nations League. Currently, the consensus probability of Honduras winning is 100.0%, while Jamaica winning has a 0.1% probability, aggregating views from Kalshi and Polymarket. The resolution source for this market is https://www.concacaf.com/. Keep an eye on the match itself, scheduled for September 28, 2026, as the result will determine the outcome of this prediction market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket explicitly handles game cancellations by resolving to 'No', while Kalshi does not mention cancellation handling, implying the game must be played.Hero tip: If you believe the game is likely to be canceled, favor Polymarket markets. If you believe the game will definitely be played, Kalshi markets are preferable.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'No' if the game is canceled with no make-up game. Uses official statistics, then Flashscore/Sofascore/consensus if official data is unavailable. Resolution within 24 hours or 50/50 split.
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No mention of cancellation handling. Implies the game must be played to resolve.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Concacaf Nations League game, scheduled for Monday, September 28, 2026 between Jamaica and Honduras.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Jamaica vs Honduras professional Concacaf Nations League soccer match scheduled for September 28, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Jamaica wins, the 'Jamaica' market resolves to Yes. If Honduras wins, the 'Honduras' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The markets exclusively consider the result after regular time plus stoppage time, with no account for extended play or penalty decisions.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the Jamaica vs. Honduras match. Currently, the aggregated volume for this market is $2,983,245, with $2,903,783 traded in the last 24 hours. Polymarket currently favors a draw at approximately 96%, while Kalshi currently shows Jamaica winning as the most likely outcome. This represents a consensus view derived from multiple prediction markets, allowing users to see where the crowd stands on the potential results of the match. This provides a unique perspective beyond traditional sportsbooks.

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to express their belief about the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when there's significant public information or a strong consensus forming. While sportsbooks may initially offer odds based on statistical analysis, this market can quickly incorporate new information and sentiment, leading to potentially more accurate probabilities.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi can arise from several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structures, which can influence how quickly information is incorporated into prices. Furthermore, the liquidity on each platform can vary, impacting price discovery. Polymarket and Kalshi may also attract different types of traders, with varying levels of expertise or access to information about the Jamaica vs. Honduras match. These factors combine to create potentially different probabilities for the same event across the two platforms.