TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 11:54 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the Concacaf Nations League game, scheduled for September 25 at 8:00 PM ET.
More markets for the Concacaf Nations League game, scheduled for September 25 at 8:00 PM ET.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like promotional offers or biases, whereas this market relies on traders directly assessing probabilities. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges. Examining these differences can provide insights into where the market believes sportsbooks may be over or underestimating the chances of a particular outcome. This comparison can be a useful tool for informed decision-making, but remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price movements are driven by supply and demand; increased buying pressure raises the price, indicating growing confidence in that outcome, while increased selling pressure lowers it. This creates a dynamic and responsive pricing system.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Jamaica vs. Guatemala match, as determined by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will not. The exact timing of the resolution may depend on the speed of official result confirmation.
Several factors could influence this market before Sep 26, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or alterations to the match schedule could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or controversies surrounding the teams could also play a role. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, might impact trading activity. Monitoring these signals and events will be crucial for understanding potential price movements in this market and assessing the evolving probabilities.