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Jamaica vs. Guatemala
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Jamaica vs. Guatemala?

Volume:
$2,253,349

Jamaica

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 26, 2026

Closed: Sep 25, 9:54 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Jamaica

View
100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$771,838
N/A
N/A
$356,498
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jamaica

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$143,069
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Guatemala

View
0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$814,875
N/A
N/A
$468,278
Settled
No
polymarket

Guatemala

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$119,332
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$349,816
N/A
N/A
$165,943
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Jamaica vs. Guatemala)

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$54,420
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a Jamaica versus Guatemala soccer match, part of the Concacaf Nations League, with bettors forecasting whether the game will end in a draw, a Jamaica win, or a Guatemala win. Currently, the consensus probability of a draw is 67.5%, while Jamaica winning is estimated at 24%. This aggregated view combines data from Kalshi and Polymarket, and will resolve based on the official result reported by https://www.concacaf.com/. Keep an eye on the match scheduled for September 25, 2026, as the outcome of that game will determine resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Polymarket explicitly resolves canceled games to 'No', while Kalshi lacks this provision.Hero tip: Consider the risk of cancellation when trading on Kalshi, as the market may not resolve if a game is canceled without a rescheduled date.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'No' if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Uses official statistics, then Flashscore/Sofascore/consensus if official data is unavailable. Resolution within 24 hours or 50/50 split.
  • Kalshi: Resolution depends on the game completing after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit handling for cancellations. Resolution criteria are based on the result of the completed game.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Concacaf Nations League game, scheduled for Friday, September 25, 2026 between Jamaica and Guatemala.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Jamaica vs Guatemala professional Concacaf Nations League soccer match scheduled for September 25, 2026, after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time but excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Jamaica, a win for Guatemala, or a tie. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price according to the platform's guidelines. The resolution strictly considers the result at the end of regular time, with no account for post-match proceedings such as extra time, penalty shootouts, or revised scheduling within 48 hours of the original kickoff.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those displayed for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to express their belief about the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook's initial assessment. It's often useful to compare both to gain a more well-rounded view of the potential result of the Jamaica vs. Guatemala match.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Kalshi can occur due to variations in trader demographics, market-making activity, and the specific incentives offered on each platform. For example, Polymarket might attract a different class of forecasters than Kalshi, leading to differing interpretations of the available information regarding the Jamaica vs. Guatemala match. Additionally, differences in trading fees or liquidity can influence price formation. These factors contribute to the dynamic pricing observed across these prediction markets, even for the same underlying event.