TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 6, 9:04 PM EST
Kalshi
Jamaica and Canada face off in a FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game on July 6, 2026. The winner moves forward in their quest to qualify for the international basketball championship.
Resolution is based on the final result of the professional FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game between Jamaica and Canada scheduled for July 6, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and resolves after the rescheduled game concludes, provided the reschedule occurs within two weeks. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled beyond two weeks, the market resolves to a fair price for each team in accordance with established rules.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven by traders risking real capital on outcomes they believe will occur. This market aggregates the collective judgment of participants betting their own money, which can reveal information gaps or contrarian views that sportsbooks have not yet priced in. Comparing the two can highlight where the crowd sees value relative to professional oddsmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each possible outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective willingness of buyers and sellers to transact at that level, with the bid-ask spread representing the current friction in the market. As new information emerges or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their orders, causing prices to move in real time. Higher prices indicate stronger conviction that an outcome will occur.
This market resolves around Jul 7, 2026, once the Jamaica vs Canada match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official final score and result recognized by the relevant football authorities. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as new developments, team news, or injury reports influence their expectations. Resolution happens automatically once the event is complete and the data is confirmed.
Key injury announcements, lineup changes, or roster updates for either team can shift market prices significantly. Recent form, head-to-head records, and any off-field controversies may also influence trader sentiment. Weather conditions at match time and venue-specific factors could affect gameplay expectations. Additionally, any official statements from team management or coaching staff regarding tactical approach or player availability will likely trigger repricing. Major betting syndicates or informed traders entering the market can also cause rapid price movements as new capital flows into this market.