TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 10:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses how many runs each team will score in an upcoming cricket match between the Jamaica Kingsmen and Barbados Royals. It focuses on whether specific run thresholds are exceeded by either team during the game, providing insight into expected offensive performance.
All markets resolve based on the total runs scored by each team in the specified Caribbean Premier League cricket match. If the match is cancelled before play begins, all markets resolve to fair market price. If play starts but no official result is declared—including via Duckworth-Lewis-Stern (DLS) method—all markets resolve to fair market price, except for those based on already achieved statistics. For matches shortened and given an official result (e.g., via DLS), winner markets resolve according to the official result, while statistical markets resolve strictly on recorded performance without projections. Any delay exceeding 48 hours from the scheduled start time also results in markets resolving to fair market price. The Exchange determines fair market prices in such cases, and Kalshi bears no official affiliation with the governing league.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management into their lines, while this market relies on individuals’ independent assessments of the likely outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news impacts perceptions of team strengths. Examining both can offer a more comprehensive view of expectations for the Kingsmen and Royals.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the total runs scored. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that specific outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market collectively believes is the true probability. The current price reflects the aggregated insights of all participants trading on Kalshi and is constantly updated based on supply and demand.
This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total runs scored by both the Jamaica Kingsmen and the Barbados Royals during their match will be used to determine the winning contracts. The official scorecards published by the tournament organizers will serve as the basis for verifying the final runs totals. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total runs will be paid out according to the market’s pricing at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or weather forecasts impacting playing conditions could shift expectations. Significant performance by key players in preceding matches, or announcements about strategic changes by either team, could also move the market. Unexpected news related to the tournament itself, or even broader sporting events, could indirectly influence trader sentiment and cause price fluctuations in this market.