TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 31, 3:21 PM EST
Kalshi
Two professional tennis players compete in the Round of 16 at the 2026 French Open Men's Singles tournament. The outcome depends on who wins the second set of their match.
On Kalshi, the Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev Set 2 Winner market is priced as a binary contract reflecting the probability each player wins the set. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, where the price directly represents the implied chance of that outcome. The top outcome currently reflects market consensus. As the set progresses, prices adjust based on live match events, break points, and momentum shifts. Liquidity and trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to new information.
The market resolves on or shortly after May 31, 2026, once the second set of the Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev match concludes. Resolution is determined by the official result of Set 2 as recorded by the tournament or match authority. The winning outcome is the player who wins the set by reaching the required game count (typically first to 6 games with a 2-game margin, or a tiebreak if tied at 6–6). Once the set ends, the market settles automatically based on the verified result.
Several factors can shift odds before Set 2 concludes. First-set result and momentum will heavily influence Set 2 pricing—a dominant first-set win often carries psychological advantage. Player fitness, injury status, or visible fatigue during Set 1 can reprrice expectations. Court conditions, weather, and serve effectiveness in early Set 2 games will trigger rapid repricing as traders react to live play. Tactical adjustments, break-point conversions, and momentum swings within the set itself drive continuous price movement. Pre-match news about player form or recent results may also influence early market sentiment.