TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 31, 5:21 PM EST
Kalshi
Two professional tennis players compete in the Round of 16 at the 2026 French Open Men's Singles tournament. The outcome depends on the final set score when one player wins the match.
The market resolves on May 31, 2026 following the completion of the Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev match. Resolution is determined by the official final set score recorded by the tournament or governing body. Once the match concludes and the exact score is confirmed, the corresponding contract pays out while all other exact-score contracts expire worthless. Early resolution may occur if the match is cancelled or postponed beyond the end date.
Key catalysts include recent head-to-head records, surface conditions, injury reports, and player form leading into the match. Court speed and weather on match day significantly influence set length and tiebreak frequency, shifting probabilities toward longer or shorter exact scores. Tournament draw position, seeding, and psychological factors also matter. Breaking news about either player's fitness, mental state, or recent tournament results can trigger sharp repricing. As match day approaches, final warm-up results and official lineups provide concrete signals that traders incorporate immediately.