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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

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Kalshi:

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Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev: Exact Match Score
kalshi

Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev: Exact Match Score

Volume:
$31,341

Jakub Mensik wins 3-2

 - Kalshi

Jakub Mensik wins 3-2 - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

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Vol.

·

Resolved May 31, 2026

Closed: May 31, 5:21 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Jakub Mensik wins 3-2

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,894
N/A
N/A
$3,099
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jakub Mensik wins 3-1

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,251
N/A
N/A
$4,854
Settled
No
kalshi

Andrey Rublev wins 3-2

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,051
N/A
N/A
$5,254
Settled
No
kalshi

Jakub Mensik wins 3-0

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,803
N/A
N/A
$3,912
Settled
No
kalshi

Andrey Rublev wins 3-1

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,673
N/A
N/A
$4,667
Settled
No
kalshi

Andrey Rublev wins 3-0

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,669
N/A
N/A
$1,669
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

Two professional tennis players compete in the Round of 16 at the 2026 French Open Men's Singles tournament. The outcome depends on the final set score when one player wins the match.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader positioning rather than bookmaker margins. Sportsbooks typically offer limited exact-score betting with wider spreads, while prediction markets allow continuous price discovery. Comparing Kalshi probabilities to major sportsbook exact-score odds reveals where smart money disagrees with conventional lines. Prediction markets may price tail outcomes differently, especially if retail sportsbook action concentrates on popular scores.

The market resolves on May 31, 2026 following the completion of the Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev match. Resolution is determined by the official final set score recorded by the tournament or governing body. Once the match concludes and the exact score is confirmed, the corresponding contract pays out while all other exact-score contracts expire worthless. Early resolution may occur if the match is cancelled or postponed beyond the end date.

Key catalysts include recent head-to-head records, surface conditions, injury reports, and player form leading into the match. Court speed and weather on match day significantly influence set length and tiebreak frequency, shifting probabilities toward longer or shorter exact scores. Tournament draw position, seeding, and psychological factors also matter. Breaking news about either player's fitness, mental state, or recent tournament results can trigger sharp repricing. As match day approaches, final warm-up results and official lineups provide concrete signals that traders incorporate immediately.