TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 5, 11:46 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the exact set score at which Alexander Zverev will defeat Jakub Mensik in their professional tennis match. On Kalshi, the leading outcome—Zverev winning 3-1—stands at 97.0%, while Zverev winning 3-2 is at 2.0%, according to the resolution source of the official 2026 French Open Men's Singles Semifinal result. The match is scheduled to conclude by June 5, 2026, which marks the end of the betting period for this exact-score market.
On Kalshi, the Mensik vs Zverev exact match score is priced as a set of binary contracts, each representing a specific final score outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, where the price reflects the market's implied probability of that exact result occurring. The most heavily traded outcomes typically command higher volume and tighter bid-ask spreads. Pricing adjusts dynamically based on order flow, player news, and betting patterns, allowing the market to continuously incorporate new information up to match start and throughout play.
The market resolves on Jun 5, 2026, following the completion of the Mensik vs Zverev match. Resolution is determined by the official final set score recorded by the tournament organizer and confirmed through standard sports data feeds. The exact score outcome—such as 2-0, 2-1, 1-2, or 0-2 in a best-of-three format—triggers settlement of the corresponding contract. Any match postponement or cancellation may affect resolution timing, and traders should monitor official tournament updates for scheduling changes or other developments affecting the event.
Key catalysts include recent tournament results and win-loss streaks for both players, injury announcements or fitness updates, surface-specific performance history, head-to-head records, and pre-match commentary from analysts. Betting volume spikes on major sportsbooks can signal sharp money entering the market. Court conditions, weather, and scheduling delays may also influence expectations. Odds typically shift most sharply immediately before the match as final lineups are confirmed and late-breaking news emerges. Real-time match flow—such as early set momentum—will drive repricing once play begins, though the exact score outcome remains uncertain until the final point.