TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 9:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will dominate the first half of an upcoming soccer match by winning by a margin of more than 1.5 goals. It specifically tracks the performance of both teams in the initial 45 minutes of play, ignoring the final outcome of the full match. The resolution depends solely on the goal difference in the first half, with any cancellation or significant rescheduling affecting the market's settlement.
The event determines whether either Jaiba Brava or Piratas Veracruz will secure a decisive first-half victory in their scheduled Liga de Expansion MX match on July 25, 2026, winning by more than 1.5 goals. If Jaiba Brava achieves this margin, the market resolves in favor of the first condition; if Piratas Veracruz does so, it resolves for the second. Only goals scored in the first half are considered for resolution. Should the match be canceled or postponed by more than two weeks, the market will instead settle at a fair price, reflecting the adjusted conditions and probabilities at that time.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the odds through buying and selling contracts that represent the possible outcomes. The current implied probability reflects the collective assessment of participants about whether Jaiba Brava will cover the spread in the first half. Liquidity and trader activity drive price fluctuations, with volume of $26 indicating interest.
This market resolves around Jul 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match statistics, specifically the score at the end of the first half and the applied spread, which are checked against widely accepted sports data sources.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions affecting the game, or shifts in team performance leading up to the match could move this market. Traders will also react to pre-game analyses, recent form, and any last-minute lineup changes that impact Jaiba Brava’s chances of covering the first half spread against Piratas Veracruz.