TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 11:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Jaiba Brava and Dorados, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The resolution depends on whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential threshold. The match is governed by standard soccer timing rules, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the goal differential by which either Jaiba Brava or Dorados wins the match originally scheduled for September 19, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Four distinct outcomes are defined: Jaiba Brava winning by more than 2.5 goals, Jaiba Brava winning by more than 1.5 goals, Dorados winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Dorados winning by more than 2.5 goals. If any of these conditions are met, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. The event explicitly excludes extra time and penalty shootouts from the calculation of the result. All markets are independent, and the resolution is strictly based on the final score as determined under regular time provisions. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the prediction market odds will move in the opposite direction. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market's life, as information and opinions evolve. This can provide opportunities for informed traders to find value.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the final spread in the Jaiba Brava vs Dorados match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards a consensus view. The market’s depth—the number of buy and sell orders at different price levels—indicates the level of agreement among traders. Higher volume generally suggests greater confidence in the current price.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread of the Jaiba Brava vs Dorados match, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contracts. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract’s price at resolution. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 20, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or coaching decisions are also likely to cause price fluctuations. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also play a role, though the market ultimately reflects the collective judgment of traders on Kalshi. Major shifts in betting patterns on sportsbooks could also influence activity.